Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.000008 0.000009 0.000010 0.000011 0.000013 0.000014 0.000016
2024-12-22 0.000007 0.000008 0.000010 0.000011 0.000014 0.000017 0.000020
2024-12-29 0.000006 0.000007 0.000009 0.000012 0.000015 0.000019 0.000026
2025-01-05 0.000005 0.000007 0.000009 0.000011 0.000016 0.000021 0.000030
2025-01-12 0.000004 0.000006 0.000008 0.000011 0.000016 0.000024 0.000036
2025-01-19 0.000004 0.000005 0.000008 0.000011 0.000017 0.000026 0.000042
2025-01-26 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000011 0.000018 0.000029 0.000050
2025-02-02 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000012 0.000020 0.000034 0.000063
2025-02-09 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000012 0.000021 0.000037 0.000074
2025-02-16 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000022 0.000042 0.000088
2025-02-23 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000023 0.000046 0.000104
2025-03-02 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000024 0.000049 0.000118
2025-03-09 0.000002 0.000004 0.000006 0.000012 0.000024 0.000053 0.000138
2025-03-16 0.000002 0.000004 0.000006 0.000012 0.000026 0.000059 0.000166
2025-03-23 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000012 0.000027 0.000066 0.000199
2025-03-30 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000012 0.000027 0.000069 0.000222
2025-04-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000012 0.000028 0.000074 0.000256
2025-04-13 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000012 0.000028 0.000079 0.000291
2025-04-20 0.000001 0.000003 0.000005 0.000012 0.000029 0.000086 0.000344
2025-04-27 0.000001 0.000003 0.000005 0.000012 0.000032 0.000099 0.000436
2025-05-04 0.000001 0.000003 0.000005 0.000012 0.000033 0.000108 0.000514
2025-05-11 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.000012 0.000035 0.000119 0.000620
2025-05-18 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.000012 0.000036 0.000130 0.000735